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Risk
Discover the classic mystery from Dick Francis, one of the greatest thriller writers of all time'Once you start reading you won't be able to stop' 5***** Reader Review'Couldn't put it down.I was awake half the night even on the second read!' 5***** Reader Review______As an amateur jockey, Roland Britten was lucky, and as an accountant he was rigorous.He knew he was on the hate list of several fraudsters, but never thought pen-pushers got kidnapped. And not from a racecourse right after beating the odds to win the Cheltenham Gold Cup. Held prisoner, Britten has no idea who his kidnappers are nor why they have abducted him.Only when resourceful school headmistress Hilary Pinlock gives him the opportunity to escape is he able to seriously think about what has happened and turn his logical mind to track down his abductors. But his kidnappers haven't finished with him yet - and they'll risk anything to get hold of him once again . . . Packed with intrigue and hair-raising suspense, Risk is just one of the many blockbuster thrillers from legendary crime writer Dick Francis. Praise for Dick Francis:'As a jockey, Dick Francis was unbeatable when he got into his stride.The same is true of his crime writing' Daily Mirror'The narrative is brisk and gripping and the background researched with care . . . the entire story is a pleasure to relish' Scotsman'Dick Francis's fiction has a secret ingredient - his inimitable knack of grabbing the reader's attention on page one and holding it tight until the very end' Sunday Telegraph'A regular winner . . . as smooth, swift and lean as ever' Sunday Express'The master of suspense and intrigue' Country Life'Francis writing at his best' Evening Standard'Still the master' Racing Post
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Peacekeeper, Humanitarian, Abuser : Children at Risk Worldwide
Thousands of organisations around the world are doing all they can to protect children, but many more are putting them at risk—and there is no single international legal framework or justice system to hold them to account.Up to 1 billion children live in territories affected by armed conflict; millions are killed or disabled as a consequence of war and many more are at extreme physical and emotional risk.Humanitarian disaster and conflict have forced 50 million children to flee their homes, with many experiencing horrifying levels of sexual exploitation and abuse.In these most fragile contexts, perpetrators can easily go unpunished.Children already in desperate and terrifying situations are at grave risk of being harmed by the same soldiers and civilian staff sent to protect them. In crises across the world, humanitarians and peacekeepers have subjected children to rape, trafficking, violence and abuse, demanding sex in exchange for the basics of survival--food, shelter, education and medicine.Too often, children have no way of reporting the abuse, no access to medical or psychosocial care, and no recourse to justice.Peacekeeper, Humanitarian, Abuser explores how and why these abuses occur, and proposes a robust, evidence-based solution for safeguarding children.
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High Risk
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Cognitive Risk
Cognitive Risk is a book about the least understood but most pervasive risk to mankind – human decision-making.Cognitive risks are subconscious and unconscious influence factors on human decision-making: heuristics and biases.To understand the scope of cognitive risk, we look at case studies, corporate and organizational failure, and the science that explains why we systemically make errors in judgment and repeat the same errors. The book takes a multidisciplinary and pedestrian stroll through behavioral science with a light touch, using stories to explain why we consistently make cognitive errors that not only increase risks but also simultaneously fail to recognize these errors in ourselves or our organizations.This science has deep roots in organizational behavior, psychology, human factors, cognitive science, and behavioral science all influenced by classic philosophers and enabled through advanced analytics and artificial intelligence.The point of the book is simple. Humans persist with bounded rationality, but as the speed of information, data, money, and life in general accelerates, we will need the right tools to not only keep pace but to survive and thrive. In light of all these factors that complicate risk, the book offers a foundational solution.A cognitive risk framework for enterprise risk management and cyber security.There are five pillars in a cognitive risk framework with five levels of maturity, yet there is no universally prescribed maturity level.It is more a journey of different paths. Each organization will pursue its own path, but the goal is the same – to minimize the errors that could have been avoided.We explain why risks are hard to discuss and why we systematically ignore the aggregation of these risks hidden in collective decision-making in an organization. The cognitive risk framework is a framework designed to explore the two most complex risks organizations face: uncertainty and decision-making under uncertainty.The first pillar is cognitive governance, which is a structured approach for institutionalizing rational decision-making across the enterprise.Each pillar is complimentary and builds on the next in a succession of continuous learning.There is no endpoint because the pillars evolve with technology.Enterprise risk is a team effort in risk intelligence grounded in a framework for good decision-making.We close with a call to become designers of risk solutions enabled by the right technology and nurtured by collaboration. We hope you enjoy the book with this context.
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Credit Risk
Modelling credit risk accurately is central to the practice of mathematical finance.The majority of available texts are aimed at an advanced level, and are more suitable for PhD students and researchers.This volume of the Mastering Mathematical Finance series addresses the need for a course intended for master's students, final-year undergraduates, and practitioners.The book focuses on the two mainstream modelling approaches to credit risk, namely structural models and reduced-form models, and on pricing selected credit risk derivatives.Balancing rigorous theory with examples, it takes readers through a natural development of mathematical ideas and financial intuition.
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At Risk
A 'one-off' from the best-selling creator of the Dr Kay Scarpetta series, based on the serialisation in the New York Times. Moving between the chill of Cambridge, Massachusetts and the sultry humidity of Knoxville, Tennessee, Winston Garano, a police investigator, is instructed to look into a twenty-year-old murder case. Although Win reckons there are many more pressing current cases which should have higher priority, he gets on with the task, unaware of the can of worms he will prise open. With her hallmark qualities of deft characterisation, perfect research and tense story-telling, Patricia Cornwell has created a novel which entertains, intrigues and satisfies.
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Risk
From the co-publisher of acclaimed poetry press Omnidawn, Risk engages directly with limitations, both those that structure the literal form of the poems and literary form and those that are both unavoidable and self-inflicted.In Risk, award-winning poet Rusty Morrison uses a constraining form of seven-syllable segments with breaks between to explore questions of limitation.In these poems, she is not just writing about constraints, but living inside and seeing how to manage them.In this way, the speaker of these poems actively experiences limitations as event, not aftermath.Drawing on the idea of philosopher and critic Hélène Cixous who writes that "the border makes up the homeland, it prohibits and gives passage in the same stroke," in Risk Morrison aims where the border and framings she uses offer understanding and where boundaries should be pushed against and passed beyond, as frightening as that might be.
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Risk
Risk compensation postulates that everyone has a "risk thermostat" and that safety measures that do not affect the setting of the thermostat will be circumvented by behaviour that re-establishes the level of risk with which people were originally comfortable.It explains why, for example, motorists drive faster after a bend in the road is straightened.Cultural theory explains risk-taking behaviour by the operation of cultural filters.It postulates that behaviour is governed by the probable costs and benefits of alternative courses of action which are perceived through filters formed from all the previous incidents and associations in the risk-taker's life.; "Risk" should be of interest to many readers throughout the social sciences and in the world of industry, business, engineering, finance and public administration, since it deals with a fundamental part of human behaviour that has enormous financial and economic implications.
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